Is Colorado prepared for the next big wildfire? A look at the role of power companies
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DENVER — Last month, the Palisades and Eaton Fires in California ravaged the city of Los Angeles, killing 29 people, destroying more than 16,000 structures, and creating what will likely be the costliest wildfire event in modern U.S. history.
California has the most wildfires in the U.S., but when it comes to homes at risk from wildfires, Colorado ranks number two, according to the Insurance Information Institute and Core Logic, a property data and analytics company.
That’s because just under half of Colorado’s population, about 2.5 million people, live in what’s called the wildland-urban interface, an area of homes close to or within natural terrain and flammable vegetation.
While the cause of the Eaton Fire is still under investigation and no conclusive findings have been made, sensor data and witness videos point to faults in the power lines run by Southern California Edison. The event has re-raised concerns over the role electric utilities play in igniting fires.
Only about 10 percent of wildfires are started by electrical utility equipment, but they were responsible for 8 of the 20 most destructive wildfires in California history.
The Boulder County Marshall Fire in December 2021, Colorado’s most destructive in terms of number of homes lost, ignited in part from a faulty ignition line.
Investigators found that a sagging power line managed by Xcel Energy became disconnected amid fierce winds, sending sparks into the surrounding vegetation that were highly flammable following six months of drought.
The fire ultimately consumed more than 1,000 homes and killed two people.
Over the past few years, electric utilities have ramped up wildfire mitigation efforts to prevent their equipment and infrastructure from becoming the source of an ignition.
“For over 100 years, the motto has been: reliability first, no matter what. Keep the lights on,” said Anne Sherwood, area vice president of wildfire mitigation policy at Xcel Energy. The company is the state’s largest electric utility providing gas and electric power to approximately 230 communities.
“Now because of the way things have evolved and the way that risk has increased, there are times when the conditions are to a certain threshold that public safety outweighs reliability. This new normal has been one of our biggest challenges,” Sherwood said.
To understand the role that electric utilities play in our growing wildfire-prone landscape, Rocky Mountain PBS spoke with Sherwood; Curtis Hartenstine, wildfire mitigation program manager at Tri-State Generation and Transmission (G&T); Kyri Baker, associate professor of engineering at UC Boulder; and Rebecca Samulski, executive director of Fire Adapted Colorado.
Old and ill-maintained electricity infrastructure can cause fires
Power lines can cause wildfires in a number of different ways.
Sagging or downed lines from high winds can cause the energy in the line to hit surrounding vegetation and spark a wildfire. That’s what caused the deadly Lahaina fire in Maui in August 2023 that killed more than 100 people.
A tree or branch that falls or grows into a line can also cause a fire, which is why utility companies invest heavily in trimming trees and clearing nearby vegetation. As the power line’s electric current completes its circuit, it can heat up the tree. Officials determined the Dixie Fire in Northern California in 2018 started that way.
“The sparks are created because the power is flowing in places it shouldn't be flowing,” said Baker.
“It happens a lot. Most of the time it doesn't cause a fire. But that 1% of the time that it does, it's really, really bad,” she said.
Aged wires and transformers can also cause fires, as can worn-out insulation. “You might notice it’s hot in areas it shouldn’t be hot. The power’s flowing in an inefficient way and into places it shouldn’t be,” Baker said.
These issues can be mitigated with routine maintenance, repairs and upgrades.
Hartenstine, who manages fire mitigation efforts at Tri-State G&T, said the task at hand is a challenge. The company, which generates and serves power to rural areas across four states including Colorado, has 36,000 structures across 200,000 square miles.
“With all these structures, all these distances, and the level of sensory equipment out there for our level of distribution, we're doing what we can, which I think is a great deal, but it doesn't allow us the precision that we'd always like.”
New technologies and AI are helping to prevent wildfires
One of the most critical new technologies some utility companies are deploying to prevent a catastrophic wildfire is called enhanced powerline safety settings or EPSS, which Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E) piloted in 2021 in California.
If something comes into contact with a power line, the system automatically turns off power and de-energizes within one-tenth of a second. When this happens, electricity doesn’t return to consumers until the utility company is done investigating the fault.
Xcel Energy began deploying EPSS in March of 2024 after a California utility advised them to prioritize the technology, said Sherwood.
The company says it places powerlines into the EPSS sensitive setting whenever certain weather conditions are forecast.
Xcel Energy has also invested in drones to identify defects in its equipment; artificial intellgience cameras to detect wildfires; underground utility lines in certain high-risk areas; and regular vegetation management to ensure brush is cleared away from their structures.
These technologies are costly and require significant resources and manpower, so the company prioritizes the most at-risk communities first.
Hartenstine said Tristate G&T utilizes immense amounts of data to assess risk and prioritize where to perform repairs and maintenance.
“We’re as data driven as we can be,” he said. “If we have the data, then we can act on it.”
There is no requirement for electric utilities to create wildfire mitigation plans
To date, California is the only state that mandates wildfire mitigation plans from electrical companies.
In 2021, several Colorado legislators proposed a bill requiring cooperative electric associations, such as Tri-State G&T, to adopt wildland fire protection plans. However, the state's Senate Transportation & Energy committee voted unanimously to postpone the bill indefinitely.
Both Xcel Energy and Tri-State G&T have fire mitigation plans even though they are not required by state law.
“The level that we’re operating at is very high,” said Hartenstine.
“The problem is not everybody chooses to meet that mark, and by regulatory requirements, not everybody has to meet them. We don't have to meet some of the marks that we're hitting, but it’s the right thing to do.”
In 2023, Colorado legislators voted to establish a wildfire resiliency code board. The board is tasked with developing standards for all new and remodeled homes in high-risk, fire-prone areas across the state, including the front range and western slope.
The measure passed after a ProPublica investigation found Colorado regulations hadn’t kept pace with the growth of megafires in the state.
The board is currently awaiting comment from the public and stakeholders on its draft wildfire resiliency code, which mandates, among other things, vegetation management plans and ignition resistant building materials.
Public safety power shut-offs will likely increase in Colorado in the future
When the conditions are extreme enough, some electric companies have the ability to shut off power in certain areas to prevent an ignition.
This has been common practice in California since 2008 and in parts of the golden state, residents experience between four to five shutoffs a year.
Xcel Energy implemented a public safety power shut-off for the first time in Colorado in April 2024 to much criticism. Complaints included a lack of advanced warning and inaccurate information.
The shut-off, which occurred primarily in Boulder County and affected 55,000 customers, lasted up to two days for some people. Jails, emergency services, pharmacies and restaurants scrambled while individuals with certain medical conditions, such as those that rely on oxygen tanks, were left vulnerable.
“We really learned a lot of lessons from the April event,” said Sherwood.
Baker said utilities view shut-offs as a last resort.
“It becomes life and death with electricity, so they want to not do it if possible.”
However, Sherwood said they will likely be doing more in the future.
“The odds are favorable that we will be doing more given weather conditions, drought conditions and humidity.”
Costs of electricity are expected to rise in the coming years
Xcel Energy proposed a $1.9 billion 2025-2027 Wildfire Mitigation Plan for Colorado, which is awaiting approval from the state’s Public Utility Commission. The proposed plan would cost as much as four times its existing 2020 wildfire plan and cover approximately twice the geographic area.
If passed, the company expects residential bills to increase by about 9.6% by the end of 2027.
Moving electricity lines underground, one mitigation effort Xcel has been undertaking in limited areas and plans to expand to another 50 miles, can cost several millions of dollars for one mile of voltage transmission or distribution line.
Hartenstine said his company spends tens of millions of dollars on vegetation management alone each year.
“There’s always a tension in our industry between balancing safety, reliability and affordability, and there’s sometimes a tradeoff,” said Hartenstine.
“It could be easy to say, ‘Well, why don't you just go replace everything all the time?’ I think our co-op members would struggle with that approach in the cost that it would levy on their bills,” he said.
While technological advances have improved, the industry is still adapting and learning
Thomas Edison created the first small-scale electric power station in the 1880s in New York City, but it wasn’t until the 1960s and 1970s that the U.S. built most of its electric grid.
“A lot of this is unforeseen territory,” said Baker. “It’s starting to age and we’re just learning the implications of that.”
“You’re talking about millions and millions and millions of miles of line and upgrading all of that. There is such a backlog of infrastructure to upgrade,” said Rebecca Samulski, executive director of Fire Adapted Colorado, a nonprofit network dedicated to wildfire resilience and information sharing.
“We're playing catch up. We didn't get into this problem overnight and we're not going to get out of it overnight.”
Changing weather patterns due to climate change is another challenge the industry faces.
“The risks and probabilities change all the time,” said Hartenstine. “Landscape level risk changes season to season. We can have a wet season one year and a dry season another. Can our models pick that up?” he said.
He also said Tri-State G&T, a not-for-profit, relies on publicly available data sets from the National Weather Service.
“It’s meant to serve a broad territory, so how accurate is that at a given location?” he said.
Even if utility companies successfully prevent wildfires, devastating fires can still start
Samulski said prevention efforts from utility companies, including public safety power shut-offs, may not be enough to protect communities from burning down under our current period of climate change.
“From my perspective, the problem isn’t that we have overhead power lines,” she said.
“Something else — whether it was fireworks or a chain dragging from a car — probably would have ignited a fire on a red-flag, high fire danger day anyway.”
Because climate change has created hotter, drier, windier environments, forests have become more vulnerable to insects like the spruce beetle, said Hartenstine. The spruce beetles weaken and kill trees and forests, creating more fuel for fires. As of 2022, it was the deadliest forest pest in Colorado for 10 consecutive years.
“The kinds of changes that we’re facing are not changes that Tri-State really has much control over,” Hartenstine said.
Utility companies can’t act alone — they need buy-in and support from the public
Samulski says the term “miracle house” — a home that survives a wildfire when the homes around it are consumed — isn’t the right nomenclature. “They’re not [miracles],” she said. “It's because of the way that [these homes] have been hardened.”
Various fire mitigation organizations state that the first five feet around a home are the most critical in preventing a home from catching on fire.
Samulski recommends that homes in fire-prone areas have no cedar siding on the exterior, no wood decks or wooden fences on the property, and no bark mulch next to the homes.
“It is solvable, unlike a hurricane that you can't get in front of,” she said. “It is a fuel issue, and we can change that.”
Hartenstine said utility companies need greater public support.
“We get a lot of pushback from the public when we go to trim vegetation at people’s houses,” he said. “People say, ‘Oh, grandma planted that tree,’ or ‘I love that tree.’ I love trees, too.”
“We need the public to understand the risks so they can help us do our job and be prepared."
Type of story: News
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources.
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources.
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